Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.003075 0.003365 0.003673 0.004027 0.004423 0.004852 0.005355
2025-12-28 0.002559 0.002962 0.003420 0.003985 0.004664 0.005461 0.006472
2026-01-04 0.002290 0.002752 0.003303 0.004014 0.004918 0.006037 0.007548
2026-01-11 0.002060 0.002549 0.003153 0.003963 0.005036 0.006428 0.008402
2026-01-18 0.001887 0.002392 0.003036 0.003928 0.005153 0.006807 0.009260
2026-01-25 0.001739 0.002251 0.002922 0.003878 0.005234 0.007130 0.010059
2026-02-01 0.001635 0.002158 0.002859 0.003886 0.005388 0.007559 0.011047
2026-02-08 0.001526 0.002049 0.002764 0.003837 0.005448 0.007851 0.011850
2026-02-15 0.001424 0.001941 0.002661 0.003765 0.005464 0.008070 0.012552
2026-02-22 0.001360 0.001882 0.002623 0.003784 0.005617 0.008508 0.013656
2026-03-01 0.001323 0.001858 0.002634 0.003875 0.005886 0.009154 0.015185
2026-03-08 0.001250 0.001778 0.002554 0.003818 0.005910 0.009394 0.016017
2026-03-15 0.001173 0.001689 0.002459 0.003738 0.005899 0.009591 0.016833
2026-03-22 0.001111 0.001620 0.002392 0.003698 0.005956 0.009917 0.017947
2026-03-29 0.001070 0.001580 0.002368 0.003726 0.006129 0.010463 0.019566
2026-04-05 0.001016 0.001518 0.002303 0.003679 0.006164 0.010758 0.020709
2026-04-12 0.000970 0.001465 0.002249 0.003647 0.006222 0.011098 0.021991
2026-04-19 0.000925 0.001410 0.002190 0.003601 0.006248 0.011378 0.023181
2026-04-26 0.000893 0.001376 0.002163 0.003608 0.006376 0.011871 0.024926
2026-05-03 0.000854 0.001328 0.002109 0.003563 0.006398 0.012147 0.026202
2026-05-10 0.000814 0.001276 0.002045 0.003497 0.006372 0.012320 0.027251
2026-05-17 0.000791 0.001252 0.002028 0.003515 0.006515 0.012870 0.029334
2026-05-24 0.000780 0.001247 0.002044 0.003598 0.006800 0.013763 0.032466